This project seeks to estimate the impacts of Covid-19 and the subsequent lockdown measures (in isolation) on the compliance landscape for UK packaging recycling in 2020 and projecting forward to 2022. This is achieved by: • Updating estimates for UK packaging POM (placed on the market) and recycling by material and by industry sector in 2019 to provide a baseline for future scenarios. • Using relevant data sources and industry insights to estimate and provide a narrative, by packaging material type, regarding the impacts of Covid-19 and the subsequent lockdown in 2020-2022 on: o The total amount of material that is likely to be placed on the market (POM) by sector o The impact of the change in POM on the UK recycling rate by material, and by sector o The changes to the level of obligated tonnage by material o Including an indicative assessment of the potential impact of the recession on the proportion of POM that is recorded within the obligated tonnage each year. Scenarios, assumptions and data sources have been agreed with the Steering Group made up of key industry stakeholders representing individual materials and sectors. Where requested by stakeholders, further scenarios have been developed to expand on aspects of recycling that may only in-part be attributed to the Covid-19 situation but were not included in the initial project brief.